Service Plays Wednesday 06/10/09

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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khaliagent

PAID PICK - WNBA
*Washington Mystics +6 -106

PAID PICK - MLB
*St Louis Cardinals ML +101 (BIG)


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Paid and confirmed by me.
 

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Jim Feist's RARE Baseball High Roller

Detroit Tigers (paid for by me) Anybody gonna grab jack clayton 6*, his first in a month?
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty pushed with the Lakers ( 4) Tuesday night.

Today it's the Cardinals. The surplus is 670 sirignanos.
 
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Jim Feist Bonus Play

(959) CHICAGO CUBS
(960) HOUSTON ASTROS
Take "(959) CHICAGO CUBS"

When assessing teams and pitchers, it is better to look at recent results rather than overall seasonal numbers. There are stark differences with these teams. Last place Houston has a losing mark at home and starter Wandy Rodriguez has fallen off a cliff after a hot start, 0-3 with a 7.90 ERA his last three starts. Cubs ace Carlos Zambrano (4-2) has a 2.04 ERA his last three starts, fanning 20 in 17 innings. Play the Cubs.
 

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Rated Picks

MLB:
Seattle Mariners +101
Washington Nationals +105
Philadelphia Phillies -124
Detroit Tigers -128
Min Twins/Oak A's OVER 8
 

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Does anyone know if-

Ras is going to release his plays early in the morning on week days, like he does on weekends?
 

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igz1 sports

Tuesday Recap: 1-0 MLB

MLB
3* Seattle (Hernandez) -108
3* Cinncinnati (Harang) -115
3* Detroit (Verlander) -140

Good Luck
 

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Ferringo 6-10
Take #955 Philadelphia (-145) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m.)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.

Take #962 Milwaukee (-135) over Colorado (8 p.m.)


Take #951 Cincinnati (-115) over Washington (7 p.m.)


Take #958 Atlanta (-1.5, -115) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m.)


Take #966 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, +110) over San Diego (10 p.m.)


Today's Totals
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 L.A. Angels at Tampa Bay (7 p.m.)

Take ‘Under’ 9.5 San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m.)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Kansas City at Cleveland (7 p.m.)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Minnesota at Oakland (10 p.m.)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Seattle at Baltimore (7 p.m.)

Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Colorado at Milwaukee (8 p.m.)

Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Chicago Cubs at Houston (8 p.m.)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7 p.m.)

Take ‘Over’ 11.0 N.Y. Yankees at Boston (7 p.m.)

Take 'Over' 8.0 Philadelphia at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m.)
 

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Jimmy Boyd 6/10
MLB | Jun 10 '09 (8:05p)
Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Texas Rangers -1½+125
5* MLB Blowout of the Week on Rangers -1.5 +125
The Rangers are 18-11 at home this season and after back-to-back losses to the Jays, who are just 13-17 on the road, I expect them to bounce back big here. The Rangers are due for an offensive explosion after being shut out and I like their bats against the southpaw Romero who has an ERA of 7.16 over his last 3 starts. I also expect Millwood's dominance to continue. He is 3-1 with an ERA of 2.59 at home this season. The Rangers are 21-9 in Millwood's last 30 home starts and 5-1 in Millwood's last 6 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Rangers are also 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter. With as well as the Rangers have hit lefty starters this season, averaging 6.1 runs per game, I'll bet them on the run line here to gain additional value.

MLB | Jun 10 '09 (10:05p)
Minnesota Twins vs Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics -130
3* Wednesday Night MLB Crunch Time Bailout on A's -130
The A's are rolling having won 7 of their last 8 games. I'll back them in this bounce back spot after getting crushed last night. The key is southpaw starter Dallas Braden. The A's have won each of his last 3 starts and he has posted an ERA of just 2.70 in those games. But here's the clincher: Minnesota is 0-10 in road games against left-handed starters this season. The Twins have really struggled against lefties this season. They are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter and 9-28 in their last 37 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Fade the Twins in this spot.
 

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Anthony Redd

Wednesday's Card
5 Dime Braves run line



5 Dime Brewers run line



5 Dime Diamondbacks run line
 

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RON RAYMOND’S 5* MLB GRAND SLAM WINNER! (80% CLUB INCLUDED)

Pick # 1 Kansas City Royals /Cleveland Indians Under 8.5 -120
 

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SPORTS ADVISORS

Philadelphia (33-23) at N.Y. Mets (31-25)

The Phillies send ace Cole Hamels (4-2, 4.40 ERA) to the mound at Citi Field for the middle game of a three-game set against the rival Mets, who are scheduled to start Mike Pelfrey (4-2, 4.85).

Despite a rocky outing by ace Johan Santana, New York held on for a 6-5 victory in Tuesday’s series opener. The Mets are just 4-5 in their last nine games, but they’re on positive upticks of 8-2 in divisional games, 6-1 at home, 17-8 on Wednesday and 21-8 at home against southpaw starters. On the downside, they’ve lost seven of their last nine as an underdog.

Philadelphia dropped to 5-3 on its current 10-game road trip with last night’s loss, including 1-3 in the last four. Still the Phillies 13-5 in their last 18 on the highway and they continue to sport baseball’s best road record at 21-9. Furthermore, the defending World Series champions are on lengthy hot streaks of 57-29 overall, 35-17 as a visitor, 23-9 on the road against right-handed starters, 38-17 against winning teams, 38-18 as a favorite and 8-3 versus N.L. East rivals.

Dating to last season, the Mets are on an 11-5 overall run in this rivalry (4-1 this season), winning six of the last eight clashes in New York (3-0 at Citi Field this year).

Hamels dominated the Dodgers in a complete-game, 3-0 road win Thursday, scattering five hits with no walks and five strikeouts as the Phillies improved to 6-1 in his last seven starts (4-0 in the last four). Last year’s World Series MVP has gone at least six innings in six consecutive outings, allowing two earned runs or fewer in four of those contests.

The Phillies are 6-1 in Hamels’ last seven road outings dating to last season, with the San Diego native going 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA in four starts as a visitor this season. Philly is also 4-1 in Hamels’ last five starts facing N.L. East rivals, but 1-4 in his last five versus the Mets, against whom Hamels is 1-3 with a 3.79 ERA in six career efforts.

Pelfrey’s string of five straight quality starts (2.60 ERA) and seven straight starts allowing three runs or fewer ended with a thud on Thursday in Pittsburgh, as the right-hander got rocked for eight runs on nine hits and four walks in 3 2/3 innings, losing 11-6. Despite that outcome, with Pelfrey on the bump, the Mets are still on hot streaks of 6-2 overall, 4-0 at home and 5-0 in divisional games.

Pelfrey is 2-0 with a 3.62 ERA in five starts at new Citi Field, and he’s 3-2 with a 4.19 ERA in six lifetime starts against the Phillies. That includes a pair of wins six days apart last month, with Pelfrey yielding three runs in each contest. He pitched 5 1/3 innings in a 7-4 victory at Philly on May 1 then went seven innings in a 7-5 home win May 7, his most recent victory.

With Hamels pitching, the Phillies are on “under” runs of 12-4-1 overall, 6-1 on the road, 4-0 on Wednesday and 15-6 against divisional foes, and the under is 4-1 in Pelfrey’s last five starts. However, five of Hamels’ last six starts against New York have topped the total, and the over is 8-0-1 in Pelfrey’s last nine starts on Wednesday.

Philadelphia carries “under” trends of 12-4-1 overall, 4-2 on the road, 5-2 against the N.L. East, 6-1 on Wednesday and 5-2-1 against right-handed starters. Likewise, the Mets are on “under” runs of 4-2 overall, 4-1 versus the N.L. East and 5-0 versus lefty starters, but the over is 23-8-4 in New York’s last 35 Wednesday contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (34-24) at Boston (34-24)

The Yankees give struggling right-hander Chien-Ming Wang (0-3, 14.46) another shot on the mound when they face the Red Sox and Tim Wakefield (7-3, 4.50) as these bitter rivals continue a three-game series at Fenway Park.

Boston got a dominating start from ace Josh Becket on Tuesday and blanked New York 7-0, pulling into a first-place tie with the Yankees in the A.L. East while improving to 6-0 against its hated rivals this season. The BoSox are on upticks of 84-37 at home, 17-6 against the A.L. East and 26-12 as a favorite.

Despite last night’s loss, New York is still on runs of 19-7 overall, 4-2 on the highway, 7-2 against A.L. East foes, 11-5 versus right-handed starters and 56-22 on Wednesday.

Not only are the Red Sox are a perfect 6-0 against the Bronx Bombers this season, but they’ve won seven straight meetings dating to last year (5-0 at Fenway). The Red Sox have scored a total of 45 runs against Yankee pitching this season.

Wang began the season with three atrocious starts (23 runs allowed in six total innings), then went on the disabled list for a month before returning in a relief role. After several strong stints out of the pen, he earned the starting nod Thursday against Texas but got touched up for five runs on seven hits in 4 2/3 innings, though the Yankees bailed him out by rallying for an 8-6 victory. Wang kicked off 2009 with two starts on the road and gave up 15 runs in 4 2/3 innings, losing 7-5 at Baltimore and 15-5 at Tampa Bay.

Despite Wang’s struggles this season, the Yankees are still 47-20 in his last 67 starts overall, 21-8 in his last 29 on the road and 22-10 in his last 32 outings against A.L. East rivals, including 5-1 in his last six against the Red Sox. For his career, Wang is 6-5 with a 4.82 ERA against Boston in 14 games (13 starts).

Wakefield picked up his seventh win of the season Thursday at Detroit, giving up three runs in 6 2/3 innings en route to the 6-3 road victory. In two previous starts, though, the veteran knuckleballer gave up a combined 11 runs (all earned) on 16 hits and eight walks in 10 2/3 innings. He’s 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA in four starts at Fenway this season, with the Red Sox offense supporting him with an average of 9.3 runs per game.

The Red Sox are 8-2 in Wakefield’s last 10 trips to the hill, 39-16 in his last 55 at Fenway Park and 38-14 in his last 52 as a favorite. However, with Wakefield facing the Yankees, Boston is in ruts of 2-6 overall and 2-5 at home. For his career, Wakefield is 10-17 with a 5.03 ERA versus New York.

Wang’s last five starts dating to last season have topped the total, and the over is 4-1 in his last five road outings and 4-1 in his last five games pitching at Fenway Park. Also, the over is 4-1 in Wakefield’s last five at Fenway and 5-0 in his last five on Wednesday.

The Yankees are on “under” stretches of 5-1-1 on the road and 9-3-1 against winning teams. Also, the Red Sox are on “under” runs of 20-7-1 overall, 7-1 at home, 5-0 as a favorite, 8-1 against righty starters and 6-2 versus divisional opponents. Lastly, five of the last six Yanks-Sox clashes at Fenway have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
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indiancowboy

5 Unit Play. Take the Over 160 between the LA Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx (Wednesday @ 8pm est).

3-1 WNBA start to Season (+7.6 units) (2-0 monday)

MLB 2009: +48 Net Units. Back to Back Winning MLB Months (still yet to have losing month)

Perfect June Baseball: 6-0-1 (+24 Units)

June 8th: Over 8.5 Twins @ A's: Winner
June 7th: Under 10 Rangers/Jays: Winner
June 6th: Under 7.5 Giants/Marlins: Winner.
June 5th: Saturday: Pass
June 4th: Friday: Rangers/Redsox Under 10: Winner
June 3rd: Thursday: A's/Whitesox: Winner
June 2nd: Wednesday: Rays/Royals Under: Push
June 1st: Tuesday: 1-0: Rays/Royals Under: Winner

You peeps will like this play today. We faded the Sparks the last game against the Shock b/c we knew the Shock had revenge and were looking to spank LA - and they did. Cool. Now, LA comes off that ugly loss and will show some pride and will play much better today. This is the element of basketball that is beautiful. It is called the art of bounce-back. But, you see the Lynx are extremely good this year. They have matured and are 2-0 including winning at Conn which is extremely tough to do and beating Indiana by 22. Heck, this team put up 102 against Chicago at home. Look at them as your Phoenix Suns of this year as they love to run and gun and are extremely effective. I don't expect the Sparks to shoot 26% once again like they did at Detroit, I expect Minnesota to continue to score quite a bit of points at home and consequently, I expect this baby to go over 160 when all is said and done. The Lynx also have massive revenge from a game in September when these two played 58-82 and no doubt they remember that loss. The over is 4-1 between these two teams and the Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles (Wednesday @ 7pm est). We look to keep the perfect June bug going. Let's take the Under in Baltimore tonight. Despite Felix pitching extremely well of late, he has yet to pick up the win in several of his latest contests. Although that stinks for him, it is good for us as he continues to pitch well seeking that "W". The young 22 year old righty from Valencia has given up just 2 runs in roughly 22 innings but he is just 1-0 in those 3 starts. I look for him to have another strong performance today as he has produced 3 straight quality starts. I also like Guthrie at home on the bounce-back today. The Stanford grad had one of his worst performances of his life in his last start. He didn't have make it out of the first inning. The young man gave up 6 runs at Oakland and recorded just 2 outs before being lifted. I look for him to have a huge bounce-back effort which is why the Orioles are favored in many books despite Felix pitching today. This should be a pitcher's duel most of the way as the Under is 7-1 for the M's in their last 8 road games and the Under is 7-0 for the Orioles when they are favored (indicates a strong pitching performance expected by an O's pitcher).
 

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